Research Area
International Trade
International Trade
Our research examines international trade, including the use of advanced economic and trade models for forecasting agricultural production and market dynamics.
This includes the use of the Lincoln Trade and Environment Model (LTEM) - an advanced multi-commodity and multi-country partial equilibrium model focused on projecting changes in international markets for agricultural products, and the outputs of greenhouse gas and groundwater nitrates implied from changes in these markets. It can be used to analyse possible impacts of policy and other changes on future net trade and producer returns for 23 agri-food commodities and 23 countries or regions, providing insight based on possible international trade scenarios.
Related Research
Unlocking Export Prosperity is delivering new knowledge on how local enterprises can achieve higher returns by ensuring global consumers understand the distinctive qualities of the physical, credence and cultural attributes of agri-food products that are Made in New Zealand.
Integrating Value Chains tested whether New Zealand’s world-renowned reputation for food and fibre would allow our producers and processors to capture higher returns for agri-food exports.
The AERU is currently engaged in a project to estimate the economic impact of extreme events in relation to climate change on New Zealand's primary sector, funded by MPI's Sustainable Land Management and Climate Change programme.
The AERU were the principal investigators for the Matrix of Drivers, a project aiming to identify all of the known drivers and issues that affect land and water use in New Zealand, funded by the Our Land and Water National Science Challenge.
Maximising Export Returns (MER) was a three-year project, funded by MBIE, examining international consumer preferences towards key food and beverage product attributes in key markets for New Zealand's food and beverage trade.
The Primary Sector Council commissioned the AERU to prepare a situational analysis that provided a global perspective and a national context for developing a refreshed vision for food and fibre sector at a time of unprecedented change.
This project documented how important the land based sector is to New Zealand and offered a vision for its future. AGMARDT, ANZCO Foods, Beef and Lamb New Zealand, Fonterra and Zespri funded the research in 2016. It showed how industry‐led initiatives and private‐public partnerships is building on the sector’s historical successes for ongoing economic prosperity into the future.
The AERU produced a report for the New Zealand British High Commission detailing the history of New Zealand's agricultural, trade and economic policies with the United Kingdom, European Union, and other major export markets, and how these have changed over time.
The AERU has contributed to Beef+Lamb’s New Zealand origin brand, Taste Pure Nature, through our work in the Integrating Value Chains programme (funded by the Our Land and Water National Science Challenge).